Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.987448 3.448265 3.957553 4.562360 5.261360 6.044271 6.988356
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.466132 3.092396 3.844129 4.813835 6.033219 7.518024 9.467026
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.033830 2.740930 3.652992 4.917705 6.630006 8.873684 12.047299
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.682731 2.418563 3.430708 4.928168 7.094711 10.127313 14.716203
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.364312 2.077819 3.117732 4.748963 7.255028 10.979015 16.970242
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.114854 1.789471 2.825733 4.540103 7.321959 11.687651 19.116423
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.978466 1.648886 2.730102 4.609550 7.818527 13.117315 22.618885
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.834989 1.471444 2.544884 4.497801 7.992509 14.040695 25.425029
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.777727 1.429901 2.577593 4.758042 8.838272 16.223237 30.782874
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.713096 1.364038 2.555956 4.914166 9.515850 18.202120 36.089812
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.638848 1.268133 2.464018 4.921785 9.910094 19.705476 40.721591
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.548965 1.127987 2.267143 4.692952 9.800753 20.208398 43.413256
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.513580 1.094496 2.280026 4.901354 10.640233 22.801593 51.047832
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.488146 1.077912 2.325240 5.186311 11.693149 26.021109 60.659045
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.450897 1.029991 2.297206 5.307721 12.408581 28.630017 69.381994
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.410075 0.967606 2.228070 5.324965 12.889441 30.790737 77.456232
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.360323 0.876694 2.080698 5.134703 12.846023 31.716904 82.670342
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.315308 0.789973 1.929858 4.910776 12.680481 32.315054 87.150372
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.293095 0.756045 1.900932 4.987392 13.291325 34.960349 97.555599
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.262995 0.697402 1.802033 4.867191 13.365960 36.230611 104.437483
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.255514 0.696830 1.851196 5.149760 14.580283 40.752443 121.427567
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.243175 0.681255 1.858673 5.319340 15.509246 44.647588 137.349375
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.225235 0.647402 1.811827 5.327837 15.976774 47.312534 150.071878